Will You Buy Jubiliant Foodworks?
November 25, 2011 | In: Mid Cap Stocks, Stocks Analysis
Jubiliant Foodworks is a very good company that has grown phenomenally well and will continue to do so in future. The company posted net profits of 33 crores in FY10 that jumped to 72 crores in FY11 and is expected to shoot up to 102.5 crores in FY12 and 150+ crores in FY13. The company is seeing strong same stores sales growth and it is also going to expand with time, thus such high growth of 100%, 40% and 50% respectively. The company is in a kind of business that will continue to grow in our country for several years to come. Now that we are convinced about growth prospects about this company, should one go ahead and buy this stock?
No! We are yet to take a look at the valuations of the stock. Jubiliant Foodworks is currently trading at a price of 764 rupees per share and the recent EPS posted by the company was 13.16 for Q2 FY12 which relates to a P/E of close to 58. Seriously? The share is actually trading THAT costly. Full year FY12 EPS is expected to be close to 16 and thats 6 month forward P/E comes to almost 48. Looking at FY 13 data, the stock is already trading above 30 PE for 1.5 year forward earnings. This kind of valuation is a strict no no for an investor. Although the company is showing a high growth trajectory, the stock price does not comfort an investor by any means.
An investor’s job is to buy a high growth stock at cheap valuations and if a high growing company is available at a very costly price then an investor should accept that the game is already over for the stock and move on to something else. Unless this stock comes down significantly, it would not trigger a buy for value investors as it provides no value to an investor at all. I’ve often explained the problems with high valued stocks, they trade high as long as there are no issues with earnings, any sign of issue with earnings anytime would trigger a sell on the stock. Then the stock might either crash or get stuck in a range for a long time to come as no fresh buyers will pay such a premium for this stock then and some would book profits. There are just enough evidence from the past to prove this theory right.
If an investor is looking to enter this scrip with a long term view, I think you should re think. There are a lot of other stocks giving good growth figures and are available at very cheap valuations which can make you much more money than what you could get in this scrip over a long term period ofcourse.
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