Mahindra Satyam Will Fall On Monday

September 24, 2010 | In: Stocks Analysis

Mahindra Satyam has announced today evening that they are going to file delisting of Satyam Computers ADR from New York Stock Exchange(NYSE). This news has come off as a shock to the investors of Satyam Computers ADR as well as Mahindra Satyam listed in BSE/NSE. However we did not see the major sell off here in Indian stock market because the news came off in the evening when our markets were closed already. I won’t be too surprised that today’s 6% fall was because some people had got the information already about the upcoming delisting news in the evening and so those people already sold off.

The hard fact that you have to bear is, Mahindra Satyam will fall big time on Monday, the sell off will begin right at 9:00am with the market opening bell. We are expecting the stock to fall back to 80 levels right on monday, and several people who could not sell on monday might try to exit on Tuesday causing the stock to drop to 70′s. However IF the results are good, the stock might bounce back, but that is a lot of risk you will have to take, since you don’t have a clue about results, and sitting on a loss, if by chance results do not meet the market’s expectations, then there will be limitless sell off on the stock. Is it really worth the risk?

NYSE Demanded A lot?

NYSE had asked Satyam to give results details about each quarter since the last results date and that was a lot to ask for. Mahindra Satyam knew that they will not be able to meet the deadlines, so before they are kicked out of NYSE with hefty fines, they are themselves applying for delisting to avoid any further problems from NYSE. But the point is, nobody cares a damn about if the delisting is in favour of the company or not. Sentiments say “DELIST???”, such a word can never be good, so sell all your shares as soon as possible and don’t risk it. It will be used as an excuse to get out of the stock.

Why this announcement before the results?

My point still stands that if Mahindra really wanted to get delisted in NYSE, why did they announce this news before even the financial results had come out? Could Mahindra not have waited to show their results and then made any such announcements? Didn’t they know that the news will come off as a shock to all of the share holders and they will all try to exit the stock on monday?

There was already black clouds roaming over Satyam company and now these kind of news will further dishearten the shareholders. Now nobody would want to risk their money onto a company that was scam hit, then when everyone was positive again on the stock, a de listing news was thrown on their face. This news has come off as nothing more than a slap on the investor’s faces.

Did Mahindra Play A Game?

I’m inclined to feel that Mahindra played a game with the shareholders’ money. They had to merge Satyam and Tech Mahindra and they wanted to take as much shares off Satyam and give the least in return in Tech Mahindra. Whether this is true or not, the fact still remains that now all the share holders of Mahindra Satyam will have sleepless nights this weekend. Monday is going to see a sharp decline on this stock, and thereby creating more panic among the stock holders. Today Satyam ADR has already fell 30% on back of this stupid news.

Now I’m having second thoughts about company’s results that are going to be announced on Wednesday as well. Whatever be the case, I will exit from the stock on Monday morning. If the stock is really going to fall, then I better pick it up at lower levels than the levels I’m currently holding onto.

Related posts:

  1. Buy Mahindra Satyam Stock
  2. Mahindra Satyam Results
  3. Hold Mahindra Satyam Stock
  4. Avoid News Based Rallying Stocks
  • Ravi

    They could have announced the delisting along with results. Doing it on Friday evening after market close sounds fishy. I have a feeling that the results will be announced with lot of riders attached. 

  • Jey

    If you are criticizing Mahindra, then I feel you also nothing less that of Mahindra……what I feel is you are trying to influence retail innocent investors and getting ready to reap their wealth.

  • Mayank

    Exactly, something is fishy, which is what is giving me second thoughts about the results.

  • Mayank

    I’m not influencing anyone to take any decision but I’m only sharing what I believe is going to happen on Monday. The stock will see a sentimental panic sell off on monday. It is my personal view, However satyam will be a positive buy if it falls to lower levels. Long Term investors can still continue to hold the stock.

    The reason I am criticising is because of announcing delisting before they announced fundamental results. Didnt they knew that the delisting thing will scare the investors and create a panic around? I’m sure they knew it very well. And they also knew that merge ratio is not yet announced and they made a news that will cause the stock to fall before the merge ratio. Do things sound fishy here?

  • jk

    @mayank  @jay . I am sure we all are holding satyam for quite a while thats why we are here.
    I personally feel the outcome of all this mess going to be positive and that will be seen on monday afternoon or early tuesday.
    just hoping for not a big gap down opening.
    wat say??

  • jk

    @mayank  @jay . I am sure we all are holding satyam for quite a while thats why we are here.I personally feel the outcome of all this mess going to be positive and that will be seen on monday afternoon or early tuesday.just hoping for not a big gap down opening.wat say??

  • Mayank

    I hope the stock doesn’t open too much in the negative. I’ve planned to sell tomorrow morning 9am and buy it again when the stock falls. I’ll see how the stock is going to perform tomorrow. My guess is that the stock will trade in the red on monday, if there is any short covering, that will be on Tuesday only.

  • D.P.KUKSAL

    my query is , wheteher the results will be announced on wednesday or not?

  • Mayank

    The stock did stay in the red as predicted but it didn’t fall as expected at all. Now we can hope for a better tuesday, possible on back of positive results, we can find quite some buying tomorrow. Theres no way stock should stay in red tomorrow, I could see some nice gain tomorrow.

  • Mayank

    Yeah, the results are going to be announced on Wednesday, time is not known though. But they say that results of the last two quarters will be declared in November. And the actual positive results were in these last two quarters, when they did a good job in Fifa World cup, and they got quite some orders after that.

  • http://deleted D.P.KUKSAL

    since today the stock is showing some movement prior to results, i think on the results day u will find the stock boosted, u may find it on 105-106 levels on closing today.

  • Mayank

    Intraday traders played their game as usual, rallied the stock and then sold off everything.

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