How Can Reliance Industries Not Perform?

August 25, 2010 | In: Stocks Analysis

Reliance Industries owned by Mukesh Ambani is one of the biggest companies of the world. It gives a quarterly net profit of almost 5,000 crores of rupees. I cannot understand this market where such a company’s stock has been an under performer for quite sometime. The market has to open its eyes some day and when it will open, you will see this stock rising up like anything.

Reliance Industries has planned to invest $5 billion in the next two years. It says that it has so much surplus cash sitting around that it has to be invested somewhere. It has already invested $1 billion in buying stakes in other companies and it wants to venture more into stake buying. Now imagine the returns that will start to show up when all that $6 billion has been invested into various companies. Now since the market believes in “growth factor”, like growth in revenues, then once those returns from the RIL’s investments starts to show up on it’s balance sheets, the growth factor will become visible and then see how everyone is going to jump onto RIL stock.

Currently the stock is trading at around 970 rupees per share and is consolidating at this level for a few days now. It looks like it has formed a nice base around 970 and is most likely to go up from this level. I would suggest any investor to start purchasing around these levels and hold onto their investment for a longer term. The stock is bound to outperform in future. Nothing can stop this giant from outperforming the market, let the people open their eyes.

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  • Mayank

    Yes

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  • Utpal99

    Dear MayankI am stuck up in RIL ,had RPL at high rate which got converted to RIL ,Just fail to understand why this stock RIL is bogged down for last three years .Any possibility of it touching 2000 fig in a year or two taking into account its rubber venture and other petrochemical venture plus finance and telecom.

  • Utpal99

    Dear Mayank Do you keep track of torrent power limited .I hold some share of torrent power at Rs 180 each .Taking its expansion mode  ,how will it fair in two years time .I am a long term investor and invest in share as fixed deposit and exist .

  • http://www.mayankrocks.com Mayank

    No, it cannot touch 2000 in a year because you’re either asking stock to get re rated to higher P/E or you want profits to double. Profits doubling looks impossible, but re rating? Maybe if we hear news about gas output increasing, but still re rating cannot take it to 2000 levels in a year. If gas output does increase, depending on the precentage rise in gas output, we can see some kind of rally as well as re rating of P/E. Then I cannot predict that till I know the change in gas output, however seeing how conditions are right now, let RIL just try to get back to what they were producing before, 60mmscd, forget about rise in output. So yeah no triggers in RIL for now, Stock has a target of 1100 from 12 months view. I will re rate the stock if I see any upside trigger coming in future.

  • http://www.mayankrocks.com Mayank

     Correct me if Im wrong but Torrent Power has no additions lined up anytime soon? Should have had exited around 300+ levels. But hold for now. Stock has come to low valuation and might bounce back when markets recover. Exit on the upside and shift to Adani Power. Adani Power is the strongest Power company looking from mid to long term right now. If Torrent Power rallies 10-15% or so from current levels, you can exit then.