Advice On Reliance Industries Stock

August 31, 2010 | In: Stocks Analysis

Reliance Industries (RIL) stock has been a market under performer for quite sometime now and recently it is facing heavy declines as well. I’m dedicating this blog post to Reliance and will be going to address a few doubts that are going in your mind as of now.

Why has Reliance been declining so much?

To be honest, there isn’t any constructive reason as to why Reliance has been declining so much lately. However I do remember that on the day Reliance management had announced it’s first quarter 2010 results, there was a news circulating in the market that their KG basin gas production will not go up for at least the next 6 months or more. On hearing this news Reliance had started going downhill, perhaps some downwards move due to that news led to a panic sell off in the stock. The results announced by Reliance Industries was pretty good and at par with the estimates. So all I can tell you is there is nothing really wrong with the stock.

Should I hold or sell Reliance Industries?

Here’s the most important question that is up in our mind for a few days or say couple of weeks. My opinion here is to HOLD Reliance Industries stock. There is no point to sell Reliance in a loss, as of today this is one of the best company by fundamentals listed in the Indian stock market. There is no other company like Reliance to give a yearly profit of 15,000 – 16,000 crores. If such a huge profitable company cannot be a good purchase then what will be?

Reliance Industries has immense cash sitting in hand and therefore it has planned to invest about 25,000 crores in purchasing stakes in several companies in the next 2 years. It has already started it’s investment and within a matter of time we shall start seeing profits coming over from these investments in the balance sheet of RIL. So continue to hold Reliance Industries as I guarantee you that the stock is going to double from the current levels by 2012.

Should I buy Reliance Industries now?

Avoid fresh buying into Reliance Industries stock at the current levels. Reliance has broken all its major support levels and we really have no clue as to where the stock is heading to. Reliance could bounce back from current levels or even go further down to levels of 800. However if you find the stock between 800-850, then you can surely purchase at those kind of levels and hold it for a longer term to make good profits. Avoid fresh buying at the current levels and let the stock fall further. I’m sure we will get a even better entry to the stock than 920 per share, so why not wait and enter the stock at even better levels?

However remember that the long term view on Reliance is still very positive and there is no doubt that it will give good returns in future. All you have to do is to sit back and relax, RIL is one such stock that will not let you down ever!

Related posts:

  1. How Can Reliance Industries Not Perform?
  2. The Rally Of Titan Industries Stock
  • Raj

    I have decided to hold onto the stock now, thanks a lot

  • Mayank

    Great! Today we even saw some rally in Reliance industries!

  • http://NONE John

    hey man, nice blog…really like it and added it to bookmarks. keep up with good work

  • Prabhu

    Very interesting. i have a question.

    For this sep what option do i need to take. is it call or PUt.

    I have already taken two puts keeping the decline in mind. one is 920 and another is 880, but after taking these two puts, it climbed up and now it is 995 at the moment. Please advise.

    Regards, Prabhu

  • Mayank

    I’m not very experienced with futures and options trading. So I cannot suggest anything related to puts. However in general I’ll tell you that Reliance is not going back to 920 and definitely never to 880 levels, not in September expiry, might not even in future months. If you see our markets are rallying up like crazy and there is just no chance of much downfall, so Reliance will see buying as well, now its crossed 1010 levels also. Reliance might show better profits this quarter and it might further rise.

  • Aarushi

    hi mayank, my father has 120 shares of reliance in current date should we hold or sell it.?

  • Mayank

    Hi aarushi, at what price did he buy? If you’re view is short term, then I dont see a very big return coming in, but if long term view, then I do see a very good appreciation coming in. I would suggest you to continue to hold RIL from a long term view, will give very good returns in future.

  • Hammad

    hi mayank this is hammad. can i buy reliance 200 shares below 800 rs, for 3 to 5 year. so what price i expect.
     thanks

  • HAMMAD

    PLS GIVE ME SUGGESTION I BUY RIL, OR RIIL,OR REL FOR AMAZING RETURN FOR LONGER TERM AROUND 3 YEARS

  • http://www.mayankrocks.com Mayank

    You can buy RIL from that long perspective since around 800, stock is bottoming out completely. Results have been okay, the major disappointment is gas output that fails to rise and will not rise. But seeing fundamentals, stock is coming to a 11 kind of PE multiple, so taking a call on such a valuation, reliance looks fairly okay from long term view. What kind of price expected from Reliance is difficult to predict now. Since company fails to rise gas output, nobody can predict the price anymore. There is no outlook. All I can tell you that RIL from 3 years perspective can deliver due to its shale gas ventures and something else that RIL decides to do with its so much cash that its sitting on. And perhaps the gas output might as well go up, so its a speculative buy call in hopes that gas output would go up and shale will add on to revenues 2 years later.

  • http://www.mayankrocks.com Mayank

    I don’t recommend RIIL or REL. I’d rather you buy RIL at current levels if at all your pick is Reliance. If you are open to better choices in the same oil and gas space, I’d recommend buying Petronet LNG at current levels with a long term view, I can assure you a much better return on Petronet LNG than Reliance.

  • Dhimant Shah

    I hold RIL Shares @ Rs. 780/- The quantity is 750.  What should I do ? Hold or Sell ?

  • http://www.mayankrocks.com Mayank

    Very high quantity to put into this stock. You might want to book some profits and reduce your holding to lesser number of shares. If you have long term view, then it’s a hold but less quantity.